Missouri HS football playoff predictions

I am not sure how the State High School league determines home field for these next play-off games but you can bet it ISN'T based on my rankings.  How can they make a nationally ranked team, like De Smet, travel to Raymore-Peculiar for a game they should win by five touchdowns?  It can't be based upon any rankings, can it?

There are other highly favored teams on the road this Friday and Saturday also, so I have fudged the spreads by including a three point home field advantage.  A couple of games may be decided by the home field but the heavy favorites shouldn't be bothered much by traveling.

I have predicted 223 out of 275 district games so far for a 82% accuracy.  This week's 22 games will be a lot closer so if I can stay above 65% for this week, I think I will be doing great.

 And, as much as I would like to pick my hometown favorite, Eureka, in their game with Jackson, I have to stay true to what the algorithm tells me.

You can also find my class ratings at

https://gramps2018.blogspot.com/2019/11/missouri-hs-football-rankings-by-class.html


Here's the play-off game predictions by class.... 



Class 6 -   11/22/19
 Spread Actual
De Smet rolls on the road
De Smet (149) over Raymore-Peculiar (118) 34
Joplin ends FZW season with big road win
Joplin (126) over Ft Zumwalt West (112) 11
Class 5 -   11/22/19
Eureka might keep this close but Jackson prevails
Jackson (136) over Eureka (119) 20
Staley wins a close one on the road
Staley (105) over Raytown (99) 3
FZN gets a close road win at 'Nade
Ft Zumwalt North (122) over Chaminade (115) 3
Carthage ekes out a win at Glendale
Carthage (102) over Glendale (96) 3
Class 4 -   11/22/19
Farmington wins on the road
Farmington (117) over St. Mary's (101) 13
Grain Valley upsets Platte County on the road
Grain Valley (107) over Platte County (100) 4
Liberty leaves Ladue's home field very disappointed
Ladue (122) over Liberty Wentzville (101) 24
Home field doesn't help Camdenton
Webb City (129) over Camdenton (123) 3
Class 3 -   11/22/19
Rough Riders dream season ends in Kennett
Kennett (115) over Roosevelt (104) 14
Savannah loses on the road
Odessa (131) over Savannah (114) 20
LSC stays close but no cigar
Trinity (113) over Lutheran St. Charles (111) 5
Cassville has no luck at Blair Oaks
Blair Oaks (120) over Cassville (91) 32
Class 2 -   11/22/19
Why is Lutheran North the visiting team?   LN wins big at Scott City
Lutheran North (132) over Scott City (110) 19
Summit Christian comes up short at Lathrup
Lathrup (116) over Summit Christian (102) 17
Road game, no problem for Ava
Ava (117) over Lamar (105) 9
Hallsville home field makes the difference
Hallsville (109) over Clark County (106) 6
Class 1 -   11/22/19
Thayer come up short at Valle
Valle Catholic (117) over Thayer (111) 9
South Harrison can't compete on the road
Mid-Buchanan (97) over South Harrison (87) 13
Lincoln upsets Windsor on the road
Lincoln (111) over Windsor (106) 2
South Calloway enjoys home cooking
South Calloway (89) over Marceline (89) 3

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