Class 5 Missouri State High School Football playoff predictions

The Class 5 Missouri State High School Football playoffs are a somewhat complicated play-in process with 5 or 6 teams in each district.  For districts with 5 teams, the bottom two teams play off this coming week and the top three get a week off.  For districts with 6 teams, the top two teams get a week off and the 3-6 seeds play.

My ratings come up quite a bit different from the MSHSAA rankings and seedings.  The league has Fort Zumwalt rated the top class 5 team with Jackson, Fox and Staley following.  In fact, they rate Fox a few hundredths behind Jackson when I think Jackson is a 12 point favorite.  I have not rated FZN above a 105 rating all season.  Jackson should beat them by 16 if they meet in a quarterfinal game.  I actually would see Battle beating FZN before one of them has to play this powerhouse Jackson team.

No matter who else gets to the final from the lower bracket, they will be playing an outstanding Jackson team.  Staley will probably be facing off with Jackson who will be 10 point favorites and will be three to seven touchdown favorites for the second and third rounds.  Vianney could be a tough challenge down the road, but I expect Jackson will win that one by 14.

Good luck to all.


Class 5 District Football PlayOffs
Seed District One Teams Rating Points Seed District One Teams Rating Points
2 Fox 108 47.47
3 Seckman 83 37.11
1 Jackson 120 47.51
4 Poplar Bluff 76 28.14
4 Poplar Bluff 76 28.14
5 Oakville 63 19.96
Seed District Two Teams Rating Points Seed District Two Teams Rating Points
1 Mehlville 92 42.14
4 Chaminade 98 33.24
4 Chaminade 98 33.24
5 Parkway South 79 23.76
3 Parkway West 89 36.25
3 Parkway West 89 36.25
6 Webster Groves 67 18.41
2 Vianney 106 40.52
Seed District Three Teams Rating Points Seed District Three Teams Rating Points
2 McCluer North 71 30.75
3 Ft. Zumwalt South 72 28.61
4 Liberty (Wentzville) 71 26.07
4 Liberty (Wentzville) 71 26.07
5 Francis Howell North 50 17.76
1 Ft. Zumwalt North 103 48.03
Seed District Four Teams Rating Points Seed District FourTeams Rating Points
2 Battle 104 37.9
3 Holt 84 34.57
4 Smith-Cotton 98 30.75
4 Smith-Cotton 98 30.75
5 Hickman 88 23.2
1 Timberland 104 41.72
Seed District Five Teams Rating Points Seed District FiveTeams Rating Points
2 Willard 72 27.62
3 Waynesville 74 27.56
4 Glendale 62 24.51
4 Glendale 62 24.51
5 Central (Springfield) 47 13.18
1 Lebanon 86 41.74
Seed District Six Teams Rating Points Seed District Six Teams Rating Points
2 Parkview 73 31.96
3 Nixa 70 25.18
4 Republic 73 25.4
4 Republic 73 25.4
5 Branson 68 22.96
1 Carthage 103 46.74
Seed District Seven Teams Rating Points Seed District Seven Teams Rating Points
2 Fort Osage 103 36.22
3 William Chrisman 81 28.42
3 William Chrisman 81 28.42
4 Belton 81 24.5
1 Raytown 102 42.35
5 Ruskin 66 15.89
5 Ruskin 66 15.89
6 Truman 57 14.78
Seed District Eight Teams Rating Points Seed District Eight Teams Rating Points
2 North Kansas City 100 42.22
25.71
3 Park Hill South 86
4 Central (St. Joseph) 79 23.61
4 Central (St. Joseph) 79 23.61
5 Oak Park 85 22.11
1 Staley 111 44.94

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